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Pocket Option: Complete Strategy for Eternit Stocks in 2025

14 April 2025
8 min to read
Eternit Stocks: Strategic Investment Roadmap for the Brazilian Market 2025

Mastering the complexities of the Brazilian stock market in 2025 has become essential for investors seeking superior returns in the civil construction sector. Eternit stocks, with 37% growth in the last quarter, stand out as a strategic opportunity, combining above-average sector appreciation potential with consistent dividend distribution (current yield of 7.4%). Our exclusive analysis reveals emerging patterns and windows of opportunity that require immediate positioning in this fundamental asset of the Brazilian market.

The current panorama of Eternit shares in the Brazilian market

The Brazilian civil construction market is currently facing a significant structural transformation, with growth of 8.3% in 2024 despite macroeconomic volatility. In this challenging scenario, Eternit shares (ETER3) stand out with a market capitalization of R$1.2 billion and an average daily trading volume of R$7.3 million, exceeding the sector average by 22%.

Eternit, founded on March 4, 1940, has transformed into the main Brazilian manufacturer of construction materials, dominating 47% of the national fiber cement tile market, 28% of concrete tiles, and expanding its participation to 19% in the bathroom fixtures and metals segment. After overcoming the asbestos crisis in November 2017, the company implemented a strategic restructuring completed in March 2023, resulting in a 31% increase in production efficiency and a 17% reduction in operational costs.

For Pocket Option investors seeking optimized exposure to the Brazilian civil construction sector, understanding Eternit’s strategic repositioning becomes fundamental. The analysis of Eternit shares requires a multidimensional evaluation: first quarter 2025 results (revenue of R$287 million, up 23%), Brazilian macroeconomic panorama (current Selic rate at 10.75% with a downward trend), and expansion of the real estate sector (launches grew 12.7% in the last six months).

History and evolution of Eternit dividend shares

The trajectory of Eternit’s dividend distributions clearly reflects the company’s strategic transformations. Between 2010 and 2016, the company distributed average annual dividends of R$0.87 per share, consolidating itself as a reference in passive income generation in the Brazilian civil construction sector, with an average yield of 8.3% in the period.

Period Dividend characteristics Average value per share Average yield Impact for investors
2010-2016 Regular quarterly dividends R$0.87/year 8.3% Premium positioning among dividend payers
2017-2020 Total suspension during judicial recovery R$0.00 0% Migration to recovery thesis and future appreciation
2021-2023 Gradual resumption with semi-annual payments R$0.42/year 4.1% Repositioning as a hybrid value/dividend
2024-present Quarterly distribution with 35% payout R$0.76/year 7.4% Consolidation as a consistent income generator

The evolution of Eternit dividend shares is directly correlated to the company’s technological transformation. After the definitive ban on asbestos by the Supreme Court on November 29, 2017, Eternit invested R$287 million in CRFS (Cement Reinforced with Synthetic Fiber) technology, increased its production capacity by 43% in strategic factories (Goiânia, Manaus, and Simões Filho), and expanded its premium product portfolio, resulting in operating margins 31% higher than before the crisis.

Fundamental analysis of Eternit shares

The in-depth examination of Eternit’s financial indicators reveals a consistent trajectory of recovery and strengthening, with metrics that significantly exceed Brazilian sectoral averages in 2025.

Profitability and efficiency indicators

Eternit’s profitability indices demonstrate significant evolution in the last 8 quarters. The EBITDA margin reached 21.7% in the first quarter of 2025, surpassing the same period of 2024 by 5.3 percentage points, while the optimization of industrial processes reduced the operational cycle by 17 days.

Indicator Current value (Q1 2025) Annual variation Comparison with the sector Trend
ROE (Return on Equity) 19.3% +4.1 p.p. 7.2 p.p. above sector average Sustained acceleration
EBITDA Margin 21.7% +5.3 p.p. 4.8 p.p. above sector average Stabilization at high level
Net Margin 13.4% +3.7 p.p. 5.9 p.p. above sector average Controlled expansion
Asset Turnover 0.83 +0.11 0.07 above sector average Gradual growth

Pocket Option investors evaluating Eternit shares should especially consider the strategic balance between expansionist investments and consistent cash generation. The company allocated R$112 million to CAPEX in 2024, prioritizing projects with projected ROI above 22%, while maintaining free cash flow of R$87.3 million, sufficient to sustain its dividend policy and simultaneously reduce its indebtedness.

Capital structure and indebtedness

The judicial recovery completed in September 2022 allowed Eternit to completely rebuild its capital structure, positioning it among the companies with the lowest leverage in the construction materials sector on B3. The strategic reduction of debts and renegotiation of terms resulted in financial costs 43% lower in just 24 months.

Indicator Value Q1 2025 Value Q1 2024 Variation Impact for investors
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.87x 1.65x -47.3% Significantly reduced financial risk
Debt composition 78% long term 53% long term +47.2% Favorable maturity profile with reduced pressure
Average cost of debt CDI+1.3% CDI+2.7% -51.9% Annual savings of R$12.7 million in financial expenses
Interest coverage 8.7x 4.3x +102.3% Significant slack to face adverse scenarios

The successful restructuring of Eternit’s balance sheet has created a solid foundation for sustainable growth and increasing dividend distribution. With gross debt of R$197 million (23% reduction in 12 months) and an extended maturity profile, the company strategically balances three priorities: R$145 million in investments scheduled for modernization in 2025, maintenance of robust liquidity (R$138 million in cash), and commitment to increasing shareholder remuneration.

The current and potential value of Eternit dividend shares

For income-focused investors, Eternit dividend shares offer distinctive characteristics in the Brazilian market. After consolidating its financial recovery, the company established a structured distribution policy in March 2024 that combines predictability and growth potential.

Eternit’s current dividend policy follows clearly defined guidelines communicated to the market:

  • Minimum quarterly distribution of 35% of adjusted net profit (above the mandatory 25%)
  • Extraordinary dividends when the Net Debt/EBITDA ratio is below 0.8x
  • Maintenance of a specific capital reserve to ensure stability in distributions
  • Alignment of dividend policy with CAPEX cycles, with transparent adjustments in periods of greater investment

The recent history of Eternit dividend shares shows consistent evolution in distributions, with a current annualized yield of 7.4%, well above the average of 3.2% for the IBOV index. For Pocket Option users who prioritize income strategies, this combination of attractive yield and growth potential represents a differentiated opportunity in the current Brazilian market.

Aspect Characteristic Current value Projection 2025-2026 Implication for investors
Regularity Quarterly payments 4 distributions/year Maintenance of the pattern Predictable cash flow for income strategies
Yield Above sector average 7.4% annualized Potential 8.1-8.7% Relatively high attractiveness in a declining interest rate scenario
Sustainability Balanced payout 35% of net profit Increase to 40-45% Low risk of interruption even in adverse scenarios
Growth Based on profit expansion R$0.19/share quarterly R$0.23-0.27/share quarterly Combined potential for growing income and appreciation

Technical analysis and momentum of Eternit shares

Beyond solid fundamentals, the technical analysis of Eternit shares reveals price and volume patterns that offer tactical-operational opportunities for Pocket Option investors who use graphical approaches to optimize entry and exit points.

The main technical indicators to monitor indicate a favorable moment:

  • Moving averages: crossing of the 21MA above the 50MA on 03/14/2025, with current price 8.7% above the 200MA (relevant support at R$9.73)
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): stabilization at 62 points, indicating positive momentum without excessive overbought
  • Financial volume: daily average of R$7.3 million in the last 21 sessions, 28% higher than the 63-day average
  • Supports identified at R$9.73 and R$9.12, with resistances at R$10.87 and R$11.35
  • Candle formation: sequence of three bullish candles with closing near the highs, after successful testing of the 50MA support

The recent behavior of Eternit shares shows consolidation between R$9.73 and R$10.87, forming a base for potential directional movement after accumulation of significant volume in the last 17 sessions. Implied volatility has reduced to 37%, a level that historically preceded relevant price movements.

For active traders on the Pocket Option platform, the liquidity of Eternit shares provides efficient execution of orders up to R$250 thousand without significant impact on prices. The average buy/sell spread is only 0.3%, allowing trading strategies with reduced transaction costs. The average time for complete execution of R$100 thousand orders is only 47 seconds under normal market conditions.

Future scenarios and catalysts for Eternit shares

The future performance of Eternit shares is intrinsically linked to five main catalysts that should materialize in the next 12-18 months. Understanding these elements allows for strategic anticipatory positioning.

Main potential catalysts

We identified five critical factors with the potential to significantly impact the trajectory of Eternit shares:

Catalyst Expected timing Potential impact Probability Monitoring triggers
Recovery of the Brazilian real estate sector Q2-Q3/2025 +15-22% in target price 73% Growth >15% in residential launches for 2 consecutive quarters
Expansion of the Minha Casa Minha Vida program Q2/2025 +8-12% in target price 81% Announcement of 35% increase in budget scheduled for May/2025
Launch of the EternitTech line with integrated photovoltaic tiles Q3/2025 +17-23% in target price 65% Completion of final tests expected for July/2025
Inflationary pressure on inputs (cement and fibers) Ongoing -7-11% in target price 57% Increase >8% in raw material costs for 2 consecutive quarters
Expansion to North/Northeast markets with new factory in Fortaleza Q4/2025 +11-15% in target price 78% Final board approval and start of construction expected for September/2025

Eternit’s ability to capitalize on the Brazilian economic cycle in 2025-2026 will be determinant for its performance. With the Selic rate on a downward trajectory (projection of 9.25% by December/2025), more accessible real estate credit (average rates reduced from 11.7% to 10.3% in the last 6 months), and still high housing deficit (6.4 million units), the macroeconomic scenario appears potentially favorable for the next 24 months.

Pocket Option investors with a long-term horizon should especially monitor how Eternit navigates the sector cycle. Historically, the construction materials sector presents a correlation of 0.78 with the civil construction GDP, but with an average anticipation of 4-6 months in trend reversals, offering a window of opportunity for anticipatory positioning.

Investment strategies for Eternit shares

Based on the multidimensional analysis presented, we’ve developed specific strategies for three distinct profiles of investors interested in Eternit shares.

For income-focused investors (dividend capture strategy):

  • Precise timing: accumulate position between 20-25 days before the ex-date (history of average appreciation of 4.7% in this period)
  • Programmed reinvestment: automatic reapplication via homebroker the day after receipt (87% of dividends reinvested for 5 years exceeds by 31% the withdrawal strategy)
  • Entry scaling: division of capital into 4 installments invested at moments of greatest price stress during the quarter
  • Strategic hedge: partial protection with covered option sales at moments of excessive optimism (RSI>75)

For value investors (countercyclical accumulation strategy):

  • Systematic monitoring of multiples: incremental purchases when P/E<8.5x and EV/EBITDA<5.2x (historically favorable points)
  • Sectoral comparative analysis: positioning when discount >25% vs. growth-adjusted sector average
  • Negative news trigger: position increase in corrections greater than 12% without fundamentalist deterioration
  • Strategic reserve: maintenance of 20-25% of allocated capital available for acute market stress opportunities

For active traders on Pocket Option (momentum strategy with protection):

  • Identification of technical triggers: entries in resistance breakouts with volume 35% above the 21-period average
  • Positioning with technical stop: rigorous protection at 7% below the entry point or below the last relevant support
  • Exit scaling: partial realization in 3 stages (30% at first target, 40% at second, trailing stop for the rest)
  • Correlation with indices: taking advantage of divergences between the behavior of the share and the Ibovespa (opportunities in temporary decorrelations)

The risk profile, time horizon, and individual financial objectives will determine the most appropriate strategy. In any scenario, systematic monitoring of Eternit’s quarterly results is recommended, typically published in the second half of the month following the closing of the quarter, with a conference call held on the subsequent business day (events that frequently generate significant volatility).

Comparison with competitors and investment alternatives

The comparative evaluation of Eternit in relation to its sector peers and investment alternatives reveals specific competitive advantages and points of attention that should guide allocative decisions.

Company/Asset Current P/E Dividend Yield Projected Growth Comparative advantages Comparative disadvantages
Eternit (ETER3) 9.3x 7.4% 14.7% p.a. Leadership in tiles (47% market share); completed restructuring; idle capacity of only 12% High exposure to low-income residential segment; geographic concentration in the Southeast (62% of sales)
Dexco (DXCO3) 13.7x 4.8% 11.3% p.a. Greater product diversification; international presence; superior scale Higher financial leverage (2.1x Debt/EBITDA); lower ROE (15.4%)
Portobello (PTBL3) 11.2x 3.7% 8.9% p.a. Premium positioning; exports represent 23% of revenue Greater currency sensitivity; more volatile margins; lower yield
MRV (MRVE3) 10.5x 2.9% 7.3% p.a. Direct exposure to the real estate market; larger operational scale Longer capital cycle; lower return on invested capital; higher leverage
IFIX (FIIs index) N/A 8.5% 6.2% p.a. Greater sector diversification; tax exemption for individuals; superior liquidity Lower appreciation potential; higher correlation with interest rates; passive management

Eternit dividend shares present a differentiated positioning in the risk-return spectrum of the Brazilian market, combining defensive characteristics (consistent dividends, low leverage) with growth elements (expansion in new markets, product innovation). For Pocket Option investors seeking balanced exposure to the civil construction sector, Eternit offers an attractive risk/return relationship, especially considering its 28% discount in relation to tangible book value.

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Conclusion: Perspectives for Eternit shares

Eternit shares position themselves as a strategic option in the Brazilian market of 2025, offering three distinctive attributes: appreciation potential above the sector average (target price R$12.70-R$13.40 for the next 12 months, upside of 21-28%); attractive and sustainable yield (current 7.4% with potential rise to 8.5% in 2026); and controlled risk profile (volatility 23% lower than the sector average).

For Pocket Option investors, three scenarios emerge for the next 24 months:

1. Base scenario (65% probability): continuity of the real estate sector recovery trajectory, with gradual growth in Eternit’s sales volumes (9-11% p.a.), moderate margin expansion (additional 1.2-1.7 p.p.), and consistent share appreciation to the range of R$12.70-R$13.40 in 12 months.

2. Optimistic scenario (20% probability): significant acceleration of the civil construction sector driven by more pronounced falling interest rates, successful expansion of Eternit in the integrated photovoltaic tile segment (EternitTech project), and implementation of the new Fortaleza factory within the schedule and budget. In this scenario, elevated target price to R$15.20-R$16.30 in 12-18 months.

3. Conservative scenario (15% probability): macroeconomic deceleration, persistent inflationary pressure on inputs, and intensification of competition resulting in margin compression. In this scenario, reduced target price to R$8.70-R$9.40, with emphasis on the dividend component as support for the share price.

Eternit’s proven ability to adapt to challenging scenarios, combined with its leadership position in the tile market and its renewed commitment to dividend distribution, offers an attractive investment profile for 2025-2026. We recommend that investors consider strategic exposure to Eternit shares as a component of diversified portfolios, with allocation proportional to individual risk tolerance and investment time horizon.

FAQ

What are the main factors that influence Eternit's stock price?

Eternit's stock price is primarily influenced by five determining factors: quarterly financial performance (especially EBITDA margins above 20%), evolution of the Brazilian real estate cycle (correlation of 0.78 with 4-6 months anticipation), national monetary policy (each 1% reduction in Selic historically boosts the sector by 3-4%), technological innovations (such as the EternitTech line planned for Q3 2025) and government housing programs (particularly expansions of Minha Casa Minha Vida, which accounts for 37% of indirect demand).

How did Eternit overcome the crisis related to the asbestos ban?

Eternit implemented a triple strategy to overcome the asbestos crisis after its definitive ban by the Supreme Court in November 2017: a technological investment of R$287 million in CRFS (Cement Reinforced with Synthetic Fiber) technology, complete financial restructuring (62% reduction in gross debt through renegotiation with creditors and judicial recovery completed in September 2022), and strategic market repositioning with development of premium products (Eternit Solar and Water-repellent lines) that increased operating margins by 31% compared to the pre-crisis period.

What is Eternit's current dividend policy?

Eternit's dividend policy, reformulated in March 2024, establishes four concrete pillars: minimum quarterly distribution of 35% of adjusted net profit (above the mandatory 25%), automatic extraordinary payments when the Net Debt/EBITDA ratio is below 0.8x (currently at 0.87x), maintenance of a specific capital reserve to ensure distributive stability even in weaker quarters, and transparent alignment with investment cycles, allowing anticipation of the impacts of scheduled CAPEX on future dividends.

Are Eternit shares recommended for beginning investors?

For beginning investors, Eternit shares present favorable characteristics with conditions: suitable for those with moderate volatility tolerance (beta of 0.83 relative to Ibovespa), minimum horizon of 24-36 months, and basic understanding of real estate sector cycles. It is recommended to limit allocation to 3-5% of the total portfolio, staggered entry in 3-4 installments during price consolidation periods, and use of platforms such as Pocket Option that offer educational tools and simulators for familiarization with the specific dynamics of this asset before significant capital commitment.

How can sustainable construction trends affect Eternit's future?

The sustainable construction movement represents both a strategic opportunity and a competitive challenge for Eternit. The company has invested R$87 million since 2021 in developing eco-efficient products (43% reduction in water consumption in the production process and LEED certification for 78% of the current portfolio). The EternitTech project of integrated photovoltaic tiles, with launch planned for Q3 2025, projects to capture 23% of the emerging market for energy-generating construction materials, with potential to add R$217 million in annual revenue by 2027. Simultaneously, the company faces intensified competition in this premium segment, requiring continuous investments in R&D (currently 3.7% of revenue) to maintain competitive advantages in sustainability.

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