Pocket Option
App for

Pocket Option: VietJet Stock Sharp Decline

10 April 2025
11 min to read
VietJet Stock Sharp Decline: In-depth Analysis and New Investment Strategies

In the context of recent volatility in Vietnam's stock market, the phenomenon of VietJet stock sharp decline has attracted special attention from the investment community. This article will provide an in-depth analysis of the causes, impacts, and offer practical investment strategies to help you turn challenges into opportunities during this challenging market period.

Overview of the Vietjet stock sharp decline phenomenon

The Vietnamese stock market has recently witnessed a notable phenomenon: Vietjet stock has declined sharply, causing a wave of concern in the investment community. Vietjet Air (stock code: VJC) – Vietnam’s leading low-cost airline, which has been considered one of the blue-chip stocks with high liquidity and good growth potential, has experienced a significant price drop.

The price movement of VJC stock over the recent period shows a clear downward trend, far exceeding the average market correction. This is not just an isolated phenomenon but also reflects broader issues in the aviation sector and Vietnam’s macroeconomic situation.

Time Period VJC Stock Price (VND) % Change Trading Volume
Beginning of 2024 158,000 Average
Q1/2024 145,000 -8.2% Slight increase
Q2/2024 128,500 -11.4% Strong increase
Q3/2024 106,200 -17.3% Very high
Currently 98,500 -7.3% Unusually high

As can be seen from the data table above, VJC stock has lost nearly 40% of its value since the beginning of the year, a significant decrease compared to the VN-Index which only decreased by about 12% during the same period. This raises the question: What are the factors that have driven the sharp decline in Vietjet stock and is this an investment opportunity or a warning sign to stay away?

Root causes leading to the sharp decline in VJC stock

To understand the phenomenon of Vietjet stock’s sharp decline, we need to analyze both internal factors and external context. Pocket Option, with its professional analysis team, has identified several main causes:

Aviation industry factors

The Vietnamese and global aviation industry is facing several serious challenges, directly affecting Vietjet’s business operations:

  • Prolonged high fuel prices, with global oil prices maintaining above $80 per barrel for most of 2024
  • Aircraft maintenance and repair costs have increased significantly as the global supply chain has not fully recovered
  • Fierce competition from domestic and international airlines as markets reopen
  • Global pilot shortage leading to increased personnel costs
  • Technical issues with the A321neo aircraft in Vietjet’s fleet
Cost Factor % Increase 2024 vs 2023 Impact on Profit Margin
Aviation fuel +18.5% Very large (accounts for 40% of costs)
Aircraft maintenance +15.2% Large
Personnel costs +12.8% Medium
Aircraft leasing costs +8.7% Medium-large
Financial costs +22.3% Large (due to interest rate increases)

Corporate financial factors

Vietjet Air’s business results in recent quarters have not met investor expectations, specifically:

The financial report for the first 6 months of 2024 shows a 15% increase in revenue compared to the same period last year, but net profit after tax decreased by 28.3%. The gross profit margin decreased from 12.5% to 8.7%, reflecting the increasing cost pressure that the company is facing. In particular, financial debt has increased by 22% compared to the beginning of the year, raising concerns about long-term financial sustainability.

A notable point is that the number of Vietjet flights canceled or delayed in the first 6 months of 2024 increased by 35% compared to the same period last year, seriously affecting the brand image and customer trust. These factors have put strong pressure on VJC stock price and contributed to the phenomenon of Vietjet stock’s sharp decline.

Technical analysis of VJC stock

Besides fundamental factors, analyzing the sharp decline of VJC stock from a technical perspective also provides valuable insights. Analysts at Pocket Option have used various technical analysis tools to assess current trends and forecast future price movements.

The VJC stock price chart shows a strong and clear downward trend as the price has broken through several important support levels. The price is trading below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, a characteristic sign of a downtrend. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 32, close to the oversold zone, but has not yet shown clear signs of reversal.

Technical Indicator Current Value Signal Meaning
RSI (14) 32 Approaching oversold Technical reaction may occur
MACD -3.52 Negative Downward momentum still strong
Bollinger Bands Near lower band Neutral to negative Selling pressure still exists
Ichimoku Cloud Below cloud Negative Downtrend still dominant
Fibonacci Retracement 61.8% – 78.6% Fibonacci support zone Support may emerge

Trading volume in recent sessions has increased dramatically as prices fall, indicating that selling pressure is still very high. Some notable points from the analysis of the sharp decline in VJC stock:

  • The support zone of 95,000 – 97,000 VND is being tested and may be broken through
  • The nearest resistance zone is at 105,000 – 108,000 VND, which needs to be overcome for a reversal signal
  • A “”head and shoulders”” pattern has formed and completed on the weekly chart, with a price target potentially down to 85,000 VND
  • The Ichimoku Cloud indicator shows a thick “”cloud”” above, implying strong resistance in the medium term
  • OBV (On-Balance Volume) continuously decreasing, reflecting money flowing out of this stock

From an Elliott Wave analysis perspective, VJC stock may be in wave 3 of a larger bearish cycle, with potential for a short recovery (wave 4) before possibly continuing to decline (wave 5). Traders using Pocket Option can take advantage of these movements through appropriate trading strategies.

Impact of Vietjet’s sharp stock decline on the market and aviation industry

The phenomenon of Vietjet stock’s sharp decline not only affects investors directly holding VJC shares but also creates a ripple effect to many other aspects of the Vietnamese stock market and the aviation industry.

Impact on market sentiment

With its position as one of the blue-chip stocks, the decline of VJC has weakened confidence in the group of stocks considered “”pillars”” of the market. Many investors have begun to reconsider their investment strategies, especially with stocks in the aviation and tourism sectors.

Stock Group % Change (past 30 days) Correlation with VJC
Aviation (HVN, VJC) -18.7% Very high
Tourism & Hotels -12.5% High
Transportation -9.8% Medium-high
Oil & Gas +3.2% Inverse
VN30 Index -7.5% Medium

Notably, while VJC stock has declined sharply, some oil and gas related stocks have increased in price, reflecting the inverse relationship between fuel costs and airline profits. This creates opportunities to diversify investment portfolios through Pocket Option’s trading tools.

Large investment funds are adjusting their portfolios, with some ETF funds reducing the weight of VJC in their index baskets. According to data from the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange, foreign investors have net sold more than 350 billion VND of VJC shares in the past 3 months, creating additional pressure on the price.

Investment and trading strategies in the context of VJC stock’s sharp decline

With the analysis of the causes and impacts of Vietjet stock’s sharp decline, the important question is: What strategy should investors adopt in this situation? At Pocket Option, we suggest several strategies suitable for different types of investors:

  • For long-term investors: Consider the fundamental value of the business and recovery potential
  • For short-medium term investors: Consider trend trading strategies or technical bottom fishing
  • For active traders: Take advantage of price movements through CFDs and derivative products
  • For defensive investors: Diversify portfolios and consider risk hedging tools
  • For beginners: Learn from this situation and build knowledge about volatile markets
Strategy Type Suitable for Potential Entry Points Target/Stop Loss
Value bottom fishing Long-term investors 85,000 – 90,000 VND Target: 130,000 VND / Stop Loss: 75,000 VND
Swing Trading Medium-term investors Breakout above 105,000 VND with high volume Target: 115,000 VND / Stop Loss: 95,000 VND
Scalping Day trader Reactions at short-term support/resistance levels Target: 3-5% / Stop Loss: 1-2%
CFD Trading (Pocket Option) Active traders Strong intraday volatility Depends on fluctuation range
Hedging Strategy Current shareholders Current price Minimize losses if price continues to decline

A unique point in trading strategies with VJC stock is the ability to use the Pocket Option platform to trade CFDs (Contracts for Difference) based on this stock’s movement. This allows investors to benefit from both upward and downward price trends, while using leverage to optimize trading performance.

However, investors should note that using leverage also increases risk, so a strict capital management plan is necessary. Pocket Option provides many risk management tools such as automatic stop loss and take profit limits to help investors protect their capital.

Prospects for Vietjet and Vietnam’s aviation industry

Although Vietjet stock has declined sharply recently, to fully assess investment opportunities, we need to look at the long-term prospects of the company and Vietnam’s aviation industry in general.

Vietnam’s aviation industry is forecast to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 8-10% over the next 5 years, thanks to an expanding middle class and recovering domestic and international tourism demand. Vietjet Air, with its low-cost business model and expanding route network, is well-positioned to benefit from this trend when current challenges are resolved.

Factor Short-term Outlook (1 year) Medium-term Outlook (1-3 years) Long-term Outlook (3-5 years)
Fuel prices Continued high pressure May become more stable Expected to balance at reasonable levels
Market competition Very intense Continues to be highly competitive Market may enter a more stable phase
Transportation demand Slow recovery Stable growth Strong growth
VJC aircraft fleet Facing maintenance challenges Fleet expansion Modernization and optimization
Profit margin Pressure to decrease Gradual improvement Recovery to pre-crisis levels

Despite short-term challenges, Vietjet still has some fundamental strengths that could support recovery in the future:

  • Flexible business model with the ability to adapt quickly to market changes
  • Diverse route network with increasing presence in international markets
  • Young and fuel-efficient fleet compared to industry average
  • Strong ability to develop ancillary revenue
  • Effective cost management system, allowing maintenance of competitive ticket prices

However, investors should note that the recovery of VJC stock may not happen quickly but will be a longer process, requiring patience. During this period, using the Pocket Option platform to diversify trading strategies can help optimize overall investment portfolio performance.

Lessons from the Vietjet stock sharp decline phenomenon and practical applications

The phenomenon of Vietjet stock’s sharp decline brings many valuable lessons for Vietnamese investors, especially in building sustainable investment strategies and effective risk management.

One of the most important lessons is the importance of diversifying investment portfolios. Investors focusing too much on a single stock or industry have suffered significant losses when VJC stock and the aviation industry faced difficulties. Conversely, those who diversified into other sectors such as energy, technology, or consumer goods have been able to better balance portfolio performance.

Lesson Practical Application Support Tools from Pocket Option
Investment diversification Allocate capital across multiple asset types and industries Diverse trading products (stocks, forex, commodities)
Risk management Set stop loss thresholds and capital allocation limits Automatic risk management tools
Fundamental and technical analysis Combine both methods for decision making In-depth analysis tools and market reports
Market psychology Don’t get swept up in crowd psychology Training on trading psychology and emotion control
Cyclical investing Understand and leverage industry cycles Industry cycle and macroeconomic analysis reports

A controversial but worth considering viewpoint is that investing in “”fallen”” stocks like VJC may yield higher returns than investing in strongly rising stocks. This theory is based on the principle of mean reversion, suggesting that stocks undervalued relative to their intrinsic value will eventually recover. However, this strategy requires deep analysis of financial health and long-term business prospects, not simply “”catching falling knives””.

Investors should also learn to use derivative instruments and CFDs on the Pocket Option platform to benefit from both upward and downward market trends. In the case of VJC stock, traders using short selling strategies or CFDs with sell positions could have profited from the downward trend, rather than only being able to make money when the market moves up.

Start trading

Conclusion and outlook

The phenomenon of Vietjet stock’s sharp decline is a classic example of how macro, industry, and corporate factors intertwine to impact stock prices. While this is a challenging time for investors holding VJC, it also opens up opportunities to review investment strategies and learn from the market.

In the short term, pressure on VJC stock may continue due to challenges related to fuel costs, competition, and the company’s financial situation. However, with strong market position, proven business model, and recovery prospects of Vietnam’s aviation industry, Vietjet still has potential for recovery in the medium and long term.

For investors, this time requires alertness, patience, and clear strategy. Pocket Option provides diverse trading tools and platforms to help you navigate through this volatile period, whether you want to take advantage of short-term downtrends or position for long-term recovery.

Remember that in the stock market, periods of strong volatility often create both risks and opportunities. The phenomenon of Vietjet stock’s sharp decline is no exception. By applying appropriate strategies, managing risk effectively, and approaching the market with a long-term mindset, investors can turn current challenges into future growth opportunities.

FAQ

Why has Vietjet's stock declined sharply recently?

Vietjet's stock has declined sharply due to a combination of factors: rising aviation fuel prices (up 18.5% compared to last year), intense competition in the airline industry, business results below expectations with after-tax profit decreasing by 28.3% in the first 6 months of 2024, and pressure from financial debt increasing by 22%. Additionally, the 35% increase in flight cancellations or delays has affected brand image and customer confidence.

Should I buy VJC stock at the current price?

The decision to buy VJC stock at the current price depends on personal investment strategy and risk appetite. For long-term investors, at the current price of around 98,500 VND, VJC is trading much lower than its historical average value and could be considered for gradual accumulation if you believe in the recovery potential of the aviation industry. However, short-term investors should be cautious as the downward trend remains strong and may wait for clearer reversal signals.

How can I protect my investment portfolio during the aviation sector's downturn?

To protect your investment portfolio during the aviation sector's downturn, investors should: (1) Diversify investments into sectors that don't have high correlation with aviation, (2) Establish clear stop-loss thresholds for existing investments, (3) Consider using derivative instruments or CFDs on platforms like Pocket Option to create hedging positions, (4) Reallocate portfolio weights to minimize concentration risk, and (5) Look for investment opportunities in sectors that may benefit when aviation faces difficulties, such as energy or domestic tourism.

When might VJC stock recover?

The recovery of VJC stock depends on multiple factors: fuel price stability, Vietjet's ability to control costs, the recovery of travel and air transport demand, as well as the general macroeconomic situation. According to current analysis, VJC may begin to show signs of technical recovery in the next 3-6 months, but a sustainable and strong recovery could take 1-2 years, depending on the ability to improve business operational efficiency and the global aviation industry situation.

What tools does Pocket Option provide for trading in the current volatile market?

Pocket Option provides several useful tools for trading in volatile markets: (1) CFD trading allowing profit from both upward and downward price trends, (2) Risk management tools such as automatic stop-loss and profit limits, (3) Financial leverage to optimize investment capital, (4) Advanced technical analysis tools and real-time market data, (5) Ability to diversify into other asset classes such as forex, commodities, and indices, helping to spread risk during periods of strong market volatility.

User avatar
Your comment
Comments are pre-moderated to ensure they comply with our blog guidelines.